Latest posts · Page 2207

@SamTalksTesla @flcnhvy @thirdrowtesla @NateSilver538 No problem :)

@SamTalksTesla @flcnhvy @thirdrowtesla @NateSilver538 Sigmoid (S-curve) is how all physical and mental viruses behave, regardless of containment. Containment reduces asymptote of S-curve. At this point, we have strict containment in US/Europe & should expect similarly reduced asymptote to China.

@flcnhvy @thirdrowtesla @NateSilver538 Sigmoidal for China, followed by sigmoidal for rest of world

@Lauren62515251 @PPathole @NateSilver538 Fair point :)

@RiccitelliDylan @ColdBuschLights @PPathole @NateSilver538 Exactly, both would be false positive. Also, dying with C19 is different from dying because of C19. Vast majority who died had other illnesses too. https://t.co/YKMW54q2kL

@PPathole @NateSilver538 Up to 80% false positive

@PPathole @NateSilver538 Sure, although ventilator companies definitely know how to make ventilators. Just a spike in demand right now. Also, using CPAP machines for less severe cases & using one ventilator for several patients seem like good moves to meet short-term demand.

@NateSilver538 Do you have data on the false positive rate? I’ve heard a wide range of numbers. CDC numbers are almost an order of magnitude lower between high fidelity data (onset date known) and “presumed positive”. https://t.co/vZ3PbhQihG

@NateSilver538 Important consideration

@friedberg Feels like the plot of Deus Ex https://t.co/R8tmw048JM

@MG42bonesaw A single computer, pump & pressure accumulator would be fine for many patients, but ideally individual valves per patient to personalize care & avoid cross-flow risk

@RenataKonkoly @moskov Yeah, SpaceX is working on ventilators too

@moskov That won’t work for our auto parts suppliers, so, no, our US factory can’t stay open

@EdLudlow Yes, we’re working on ventilators, even though I think they probably won’t be needed

@alandrummond2 Interesting thread

@DOfaquarius @PPathole Thanks 💖

@Cernovich China is operating normally across hundreds of suppliers & all of Tesla Shanghai

@DOfaquarius @PPathole We’re working on ventilators, even though I think there will not be a shortage by the time we can make enough to matter

@flcnhvy Anyone feeling even slightly ill should stay home. Elderly should avoid close contact, even with family members, for now. Those seem most important.

@RationalEtienne @PPathole https://t.co/eltgA3hrAr