2020-03-21

@Jennerator211 We have N95 masks & getting PAPRs. Will have our team reach out.

Just had a long engineering discussion with Medtronic about state-of-the-art ventilators. Very impressive team!

@SamTalksTesla @flcnhvy @thirdrowtesla @NateSilver538 No problem :)

@SamTalksTesla @flcnhvy @thirdrowtesla @NateSilver538 Sigmoid (S-curve) is how all physical and mental viruses behave, regardless of containment. Containment reduces asymptote of S-curve. At this point, we have strict containment in US/Europe & should expect similarly reduced asymptote to China.

@flcnhvy @thirdrowtesla @NateSilver538 Sigmoidal for China, followed by sigmoidal for rest of world

@Lauren62515251 @PPathole @NateSilver538 Fair point :)

@RiccitelliDylan @ColdBuschLights @PPathole @NateSilver538 Exactly, both would be false positive. Also, dying with C19 is different from dying because of C19. Vast majority who died had other illnesses too. https://t.co/YKMW54q2kL

@PPathole @NateSilver538 Up to 80% false positive

@PPathole @NateSilver538 Sure, although ventilator companies definitely know how to make ventilators. Just a spike in demand right now. Also, using CPAP machines for less severe cases & using one ventilator for several patients seem like good moves to meet short-term demand.

@NateSilver538 Do you have data on the false positive rate? I’ve heard a wide range of numbers. CDC numbers are almost an order of magnitude lower between high fidelity data (onset date known) and “presumed positive”. https://t.co/vZ3PbhQihG

@NateSilver538 Important consideration